Ukraine ceasefire agreement before 2025 end?

270d left

$3.8M volume

1,247 traders

-1.5% 24h

Probability History

YesNo

100%75%50%25%0%

AmountBalance: $10,000

Avg Price23¢

Shares0.00

Potential Return$0.00

Live

0x7f...3a2b bought Yes

$5,2002m ago

crypto_whale sold No

$12,4008m ago

signal_hunter bought Yes

$2,50015m ago

0xab...9f1c bought No

$80022m ago

macro_trader bought Yes

$3,10034m ago

0xde...4e2a sold Yes

$1,90051m ago

Current Probability

23%

-1.5% today

Yes

23%

77%

Internal sources suggest late Q2 launch timeline

TechInsider·2h ago

Benchmark results suggest major capability jump

AI Research Watch·5h ago

Competitor analysis: Gemini 2.0 launch could affect timing

Market Signals·1d ago

ResolutionOfficial announcement

CreatedJan 3, 2025

Resolution Date270d remaining

CategoryPolitics

Total Volume$3.8M

Liquidity$142K